A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Mansfield Town v Arsenal
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Mansfield Town (Local)
Previsão 6.12%16.34odd justa
EV +40.75%
Vantagem +1.77%
Kelly +1.85%
Crescimento +0.755%
pressupondo odds máximas de 23.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.23%6.11%6.18%8.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0016.7316.0023.009.09%5.98%6.25%4.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Arsenal (Visitante)
Previsão 83.02%1.20odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -11.29%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.05%82.99%82.94%86.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.071.121.131.1893.46%88.99%88.50%84.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 10.86%9.21odd justa
EV +19.43%
Vantagem +1.77%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescimento +0.377%
pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.52%10.90%10.89%13.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.509.079.0011.0015.38%11.02%11.11%9.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.45%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 11:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Unibet | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Casumo | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| betPARX | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Pinnacle | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +16.27%E +0.856%K +0.904%G +0.147% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.97%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.93%EV +5.86%E +0.601%K +0.669%G +0.039% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| NordicBet | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betsson | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetUS | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.12%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 10:59 |
| Everygame | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.01%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 11:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:55 |
| BoyleSports | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.44%EV -10.97%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Sky Bet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| William Hill | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| 888sport | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Bet Victor | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.33%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.26%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Fliff | 13.55I 7.38%NM 6.76%EV -17.08%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.58%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -6.63%E -0.771%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.43%EV -2.86%E -2.45%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Betway | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -18.57%E -2.48%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 11:54 |
| BetMGM | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.09%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -5.00%E -0.571%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coral | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| 1xBet | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.34%EV -29.02%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Neds | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 23.98I 4.17%NM 4.21% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 8.07% | -0.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Matchbook | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Kalshi | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |