La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mansfield Town v Arsenal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mansfield Town (Local)
Predicción 6.12%16.34momio equitativo
EV +40.75%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +1.85%
Crecimiento +0.755%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 23.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.23%6.11%6.18%8.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.0016.7316.0023.009.09%5.98%6.25%4.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arsenal (Visitante)
Predicción 83.02%1.20momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -11.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.05%82.99%82.94%86.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.121.131.1893.46%88.99%88.50%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 10.86%9.21momio equitativo
EV +19.43%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.377%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.52%10.90%10.89%13.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.509.079.0011.0015.38%11.02%11.11%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.45%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 11:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Unibet | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Casumo | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| betPARX | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Pinnacle | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +16.27%E +0.856%K +0.904%G +0.147% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.97%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.93%EV +5.86%E +0.601%K +0.669%G +0.039% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| NordicBet | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betsson | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetUS | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.12%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 10:59 |
| Everygame | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.01%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 11:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:55 |
| BoyleSports | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.44%EV -10.97%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Sky Bet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| William Hill | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| 888sport | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Bet Victor | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.33%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.26%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Fliff | 13.55I 7.38%NM 6.76%EV -17.08%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.58%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -6.63%E -0.771%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.43%EV -2.86%E -2.45%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Betway | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -18.57%E -2.48%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 11:54 |
| BetMGM | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.09%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -5.00%E -0.571%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coral | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| 1xBet | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.34%EV -29.02%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Neds | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 23.98I 4.17%NM 4.21% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 8.07% | -0.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Matchbook | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Kalshi | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |