L’École des cotes

Mansfield Town v Arsenal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 12:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prévision 6.12%16.34cote équitable
EV +40.75%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.755%

avec la cote maximale 23.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.23%6.11%6.18%8.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0016.7316.0023.009.09%5.98%6.25%4.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arsenal (Visiteur)

Prévision 83.02%1.20cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -11.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.05%82.99%82.94%86.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.121.131.1893.46%88.99%88.50%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 10.86%9.21cote équitable
EV +19.43%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.377%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.52%10.90%10.89%13.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.509.079.0011.0015.38%11.02%11.11%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.45%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206%2.4%2026-03-07 11:35
ATG (SE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%2.8%2026-03-07 12:00
Svenska Spel23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%2.8%2026-03-07 12:00
Grosvenor21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
TABtouch21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet (NL)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:10
Unibet (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:10
Casumo21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:00
betPARX21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.9%2026-03-07 12:10
LeoVegas21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Pinnacle19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +16.27%E +0.856%K +0.904%G +0.147%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.97%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.93%EV +5.86%E +0.601%K +0.669%G +0.039%3.2%2026-03-07 12:10
NordicBet18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:10
Betsson18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:10
BetUS18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.12%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377%5.6%2026-03-07 08:44
Virgin Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:00
LiveScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:00
SportsBet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%6.0%2026-03-07 10:59
Everygame17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.01%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 11:50
Parions Sport (FR)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%8.2%2026-03-07 11:55
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 12:00
LowVig.ag16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%4.0%2026-03-07 11:19
BetOnline.ag16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%4.0%2026-03-07 11:20
Unibet (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:00
DraftKings16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Paddy Power16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.7%2026-03-07 11:00
theScore Bet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.44%EV -10.97%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 12:10
Sky Bet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377%6.7%2026-03-07 11:00
William Hill15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
888sport15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:50
888sport (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
Mr Green (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206%7.1%2026-03-07 12:09
Bet Victor15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:00
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 11:44
Winamax (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.33%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.26%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%8.9%2026-03-07 12:09
Fliff13.55I 7.38%NM 6.76%EV -17.08%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.58%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -6.63%E -0.771%K -0.872%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 12:10
Marathon Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.43%EV -2.86%E -2.45%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%3.7%2026-03-07 12:09
Betway13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -18.57%E -2.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:54
BetMGM12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.09%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -5.00%E -0.571%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 12:10
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:10
1xBet11.60I 8.62%NM 8.34%EV -29.02%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%3.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Neds11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets23.98I 4.17%NM 4.21%1.15I 86.96%NM 87.72%12.50I 8.00%NM 8.07%-0.9%2026-03-07 12:10
Matchbook22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%0.6%2026-03-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-07 12:10
Kalshi20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%1.0%2026-03-07 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.0%2026-03-07 12:10