مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mansfield Town v Arsenal

البداية: 2026-03-07 12:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mansfield Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 6.12%16.34السعر العادل
EV +40.75%
الأفضلية +1.77%
Kelly +1.85%
النمو +0.755%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 23.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.23%6.11%6.18%8.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
11.0016.7316.0023.009.09%5.98%6.25%4.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arsenal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 83.02%1.20السعر العادل
EV -2.03%
الأفضلية -1.72%
Kelly -11.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.05%82.99%82.94%86.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.071.121.131.1893.46%88.99%88.50%84.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 10.86%9.21السعر العادل
EV +19.43%
الأفضلية +1.77%
Kelly +1.94%
النمو +0.377%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.52%10.90%10.89%13.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.509.079.0011.0015.38%11.02%11.11%9.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.45%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206%2.4%2026-03-07 11:35
ATG (SE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%2.8%2026-03-07 12:00
Svenska Spel23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%2.8%2026-03-07 12:00
Grosvenor21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
TABtouch21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet (NL)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:10
Unibet (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:10
Casumo21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:00
betPARX21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.9%2026-03-07 12:10
LeoVegas21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Pinnacle19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +16.27%E +0.856%K +0.904%G +0.147%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.97%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.93%EV +5.86%E +0.601%K +0.669%G +0.039%3.2%2026-03-07 12:10
NordicBet18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:10
Betsson18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:10
BetUS18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.12%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377%5.6%2026-03-07 08:44
Virgin Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:00
LiveScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:00
SportsBet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%6.0%2026-03-07 10:59
Everygame17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.01%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 11:50
Parions Sport (FR)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%8.2%2026-03-07 11:55
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 12:00
LowVig.ag16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%4.0%2026-03-07 11:19
BetOnline.ag16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%4.0%2026-03-07 11:20
Unibet (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:00
DraftKings16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Paddy Power16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.7%2026-03-07 11:00
theScore Bet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.44%EV -10.97%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 12:10
Sky Bet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377%6.7%2026-03-07 11:00
William Hill15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
888sport15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:50
888sport (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
Mr Green (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206%7.1%2026-03-07 12:09
Bet Victor15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:00
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 11:44
Winamax (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.33%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.26%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%8.9%2026-03-07 12:09
Fliff13.55I 7.38%NM 6.76%EV -17.08%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.58%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -6.63%E -0.771%K -0.872%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 12:10
Marathon Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.43%EV -2.86%E -2.45%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%3.7%2026-03-07 12:09
Betway13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -18.57%E -2.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:54
BetMGM12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.09%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -5.00%E -0.571%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 12:10
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:10
1xBet11.60I 8.62%NM 8.34%EV -29.02%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%3.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Neds11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets23.98I 4.17%NM 4.21%1.15I 86.96%NM 87.72%12.50I 8.00%NM 8.07%-0.9%2026-03-07 12:10
Matchbook22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%0.6%2026-03-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-07 12:10
Kalshi20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%1.0%2026-03-07 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.0%2026-03-07 12:10