StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mansfield Town v Arsenal

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-07 12:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mansfield Town (Heim)

Prognose 6.12%16.34faire Quote
EV +40.75%
Vorteil +1.77%
Kelly +1.85%
Wachstum +0.755%

bei einer Höchstquote von 23.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.23%6.11%6.18%8.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
11.0016.7316.0023.009.09%5.98%6.25%4.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arsenal (Auswärts)

Prognose 83.02%1.20faire Quote
EV -2.03%
Vorteil -1.72%
Kelly -11.29%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.05%82.99%82.94%86.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.071.121.131.1893.46%88.99%88.50%84.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 10.86%9.21faire Quote
EV +19.43%
Vorteil +1.77%
Kelly +1.94%
Wachstum +0.377%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.52%10.90%10.89%13.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.509.079.0011.0015.38%11.02%11.11%9.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Mansfield Town (Heim): 6.12%; Arsenal (Auswärts): 83.02%; Unentschieden: 10.86%. Für Mansfield Town (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 16.34. 22 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 23.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +40.75%.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.45%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206%2.4%2026-03-07 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%2.8%2026-03-07 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%2.8%2026-03-07 12:00
Grosvenor🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
TABtouch🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%6.2%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:10
Casumo🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:00
betPARX🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.0%2026-03-07 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.9%2026-03-07 12:10
LeoVegas🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Pinnacle🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +16.27%E +0.856%K +0.904%G +0.147%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.97%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.93%EV +5.86%E +0.601%K +0.669%G +0.039%3.2%2026-03-07 12:10
NordicBet🎯18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:10
Betsson🎯18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:10
BetUS🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.12%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377%5.6%2026-03-07 08:44
Virgin Bet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:00
SportsBet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%6.0%2026-03-07 10:59
Everygame🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.01%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 11:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%8.2%2026-03-07 11:55
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%4.0%2026-03-07 11:19
BetOnline.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%4.0%2026-03-07 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:00
DraftKings🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Paddy Power🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%7.7%2026-03-07 11:00
theScore Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.44%EV -10.97%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 12:10
Sky Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377%6.7%2026-03-07 11:00
William Hill🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206%7.1%2026-03-07 12:09
Bet Victor🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:00
FanDuel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.33%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.26%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%8.9%2026-03-07 12:09
Fliff🎯13.55I 7.38%NM 6.76%EV -17.08%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.58%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -6.63%E -0.771%K -0.872%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.43%EV -2.86%E -2.45%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012%3.7%2026-03-07 12:09
Betway🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -18.57%E -2.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:54
BetMGM🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.09%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -5.00%E -0.571%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 12:10
Coral🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:10
1xBet🎯11.60I 8.62%NM 8.34%EV -29.02%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082%3.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Neds🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets23.98I 4.17%NM 4.21%1.15I 86.96%NM 87.72%12.50I 8.00%NM 8.07%-0.9%2026-03-07 12:10
Matchbook22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%0.6%2026-03-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-07 12:10
Kalshi20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%1.0%2026-03-07 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.0%2026-03-07 12:10