赔率学院

Manchester City v Southampton

开赛时间: 2026-04-25 16:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Manchester City (主队)

预测 77.44%1.29公平赔率
EV -3.20%
优势 -2.56%
Kelly -12.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
74.02%77.41%77.29%79.02%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.161.211.221.2586.21%82.64%81.97%80.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Southampton (客队)

预测 8.36%11.97公平赔率
EV +11.98%
优势 +0.894%
Kelly +0.966%
增长率 +0.116%

假设最高赔率为 13.40

博彩公司预测分布
7.31%8.36%8.44%9.70%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
9.5011.4811.0013.4010.53%8.71%9.09%7.46%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 14.20%7.04公平赔率
EV +5.80%
优势 +0.778%
Kelly +0.899%
增长率 +0.052%

假设最高赔率为 7.45

博彩公司预测分布
12.88%14.23%14.27%17.32%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.006.616.557.4520.00%15.12%15.27%13.42%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 78.72%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000%13.40I 7.46%NM 7.34%EV +11.98%E +0.894%K +0.966%G +0.116%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.94%EV +0.260%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-23 10:15
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.31%EV +10.73%E +0.810%K +0.876%G +0.094%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.94%EV -1.30%E -0.187%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 00:09
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 01:40
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 01:40
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 09:39
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 04:45
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 04:35
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 01:39
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052%3.7%2026-04-23 23:39
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052%3.7%2026-04-23 23:39
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:25
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:40
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 01:39
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%11.58I 8.64%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.279%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.67%EV -1.73%E -0.250%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:14
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%11.55I 8.66%NM 8.12%EV -3.48%E -0.301%K -0.330%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.70%EV -2.72%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:40
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -3.90%E -0.339%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.43%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 16:15
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.17%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.27%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:19
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:19
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 11:25
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:38
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 23:53
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 03:04
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 01:39
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV +2.96%E +0.408%K +0.473%G +0.014%7.1%2026-04-22 14:35
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 08:19
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.99%E -5.80%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 23:39
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 14:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%0.6%2026-04-24 00:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%0.6%2026-04-24 00:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%0.6%2026-04-24 00:20
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%0.6%2026-04-23 23:45
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63%1.9%2026-04-23 23:35
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56%3.3%2026-04-23 23:40