مدرسة الاحتمالاتManchester City v Southampton
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Manchester City (المضيف)
التنبؤ 77.44%1.29السعر العادل
EV -3.20%
الأفضلية -2.56%
Kelly -12.79%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.02%77.41%77.29%79.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.211.221.2586.21%82.64%81.97%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Southampton (الضيف)
التنبؤ 8.36%11.97السعر العادل
EV +11.98%
الأفضلية +0.894%
Kelly +0.966%
النمو +0.116%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.31%8.36%8.44%9.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.5011.4811.0013.4010.53%8.71%9.09%7.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 14.20%7.04السعر العادل
EV +5.80%
الأفضلية +0.778%
Kelly +0.899%
النمو +0.052%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.45
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.88%14.23%14.27%17.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.616.557.4520.00%15.12%15.27%13.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.72%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.34%EV +11.98%E +0.894%K +0.966%G +0.116% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.94%EV +0.260%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.31%EV +10.73%E +0.810%K +0.876%G +0.094% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.94%EV -1.30%E -0.187%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 09:39 |
| Betsson | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:35 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 11.58I 8.64%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.279%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.67%EV -1.73%E -0.250%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.55I 8.66%NM 8.12%EV -3.48%E -0.301%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.70%EV -2.72%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -3.90%E -0.339%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.43%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.17%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.27%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:53 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV +2.96%E +0.408%K +0.473%G +0.014% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.99%E -5.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |