Język:Polski
Manchester City v Southampton
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Manchester City (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 77.44%1.29kurs godziwy
EV -3.20%
Przewaga -2.56%
Kelly -12.79%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.02%77.41%77.29%79.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.161.211.221.2586.21%82.64%81.97%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Southampton (Goście)
Prognoza 8.36%11.97kurs godziwy
EV +11.98%
Przewaga +0.894%
Kelly +0.966%
Wzrost +0.116%
przy maksymalnym kursie 13.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.31%8.36%8.44%9.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
9.5011.4811.0013.4010.53%8.71%9.09%7.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 14.20%7.04kurs godziwy
EV +5.80%
Przewaga +0.778%
Kelly +0.899%
Wzrost +0.052%
przy maksymalnym kursie 7.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
12.88%14.23%14.27%17.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.006.616.557.4520.00%15.12%15.27%13.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Manchester City (Gospodarze): 77.44%; Southampton (Goście): 8.36%; Remis: 14.20%. Dla wyniku Southampton (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 11.97. 21 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 13.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +11.98%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.72%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.34%EV +11.98%E +0.894%K +0.966%G +0.116% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.94%EV +0.260%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.31%EV +10.73%E +0.810%K +0.876%G +0.094% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.94%EV -1.30%E -0.187%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 09:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 11.58I 8.64%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.279%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.67%EV -1.73%E -0.250%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.55I 8.66%NM 8.12%EV -3.48%E -0.301%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.70%EV -2.72%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -3.90%E -0.339%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.43%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.17%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.27%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV +2.96%E +0.408%K +0.473%G +0.014% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.99%E -5.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |