L’École des cotesManchester City v Southampton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Manchester City (Local)
Prévision 77.44%1.29cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -2.56%
Kelly -12.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.02%77.41%77.29%79.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.211.221.2586.21%82.64%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Southampton (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.36%11.97cote équitable
EV +11.98%
Avantage +0.894%
Kelly +0.966%
Croissance +0.116%
avec la cote maximale 13.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.31%8.36%8.44%9.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.5011.4811.0013.4010.53%8.71%9.09%7.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 14.20%7.04cote équitable
EV +5.80%
Avantage +0.778%
Kelly +0.899%
Croissance +0.052%
avec la cote maximale 7.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.88%14.23%14.27%17.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.616.557.4520.00%15.12%15.27%13.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.72%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.34%EV +11.98%E +0.894%K +0.966%G +0.116% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.94%EV +0.260%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.31%EV +10.73%E +0.810%K +0.876%G +0.094% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.94%EV -1.30%E -0.187%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 09:39 |
| Betsson | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:35 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 11.58I 8.64%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.279%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.67%EV -1.73%E -0.250%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.55I 8.66%NM 8.12%EV -3.48%E -0.301%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.70%EV -2.72%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -3.90%E -0.339%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.43%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.17%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.27%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:53 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV +2.96%E +0.408%K +0.473%G +0.014% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.99%E -5.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |