StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City v Southampton

Matchstart: 2026-04-25 16:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City (Hemma)

Prognos 77.44%1.29rättvist odds
EV -3.20%
Fördel -2.56%
Kelly -12.79%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.02%77.41%77.29%79.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.161.211.221.2586.21%82.64%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Southampton (Borta)

Prognos 8.36%11.97rättvist odds
EV +11.98%
Fördel +0.894%
Kelly +0.966%
Tillväxt +0.116%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.31%8.36%8.44%9.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.5011.4811.0013.4010.53%8.71%9.09%7.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 14.20%7.04rättvist odds
EV +5.80%
Fördel +0.778%
Kelly +0.899%
Tillväxt +0.052%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.88%14.23%14.27%17.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.006.616.557.4520.00%15.12%15.27%13.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Manchester City (Hemma): 77.44%; Southampton (Borta): 8.36%; Oavgjort: 14.20%. För Southampton (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.97. 21 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 13.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.98%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.72%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000%13.40I 7.46%NM 7.34%EV +11.98%E +0.894%K +0.966%G +0.116%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.94%EV +0.260%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-23 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.31%EV +10.73%E +0.810%K +0.876%G +0.094%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.94%EV -1.30%E -0.187%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 09:39
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 04:45
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 04:35
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 01:39
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052%3.7%2026-04-23 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052%3.7%2026-04-23 23:39
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:40
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 01:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000%11.58I 8.64%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.279%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.67%EV -1.73%E -0.250%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:14
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%11.55I 8.66%NM 8.12%EV -3.48%E -0.301%K -0.330%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.70%EV -2.72%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -3.90%E -0.339%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.43%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.17%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.27%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:19
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:38
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 23:53
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 03:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 01:39
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV +2.96%E +0.408%K +0.473%G +0.014%7.1%2026-04-22 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 08:19
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.99%E -5.80%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 23:39
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 14:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%0.6%2026-04-24 00:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%0.6%2026-04-24 00:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%0.6%2026-04-24 00:20
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%0.6%2026-04-23 23:45
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63%1.9%2026-04-23 23:35
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56%3.3%2026-04-23 23:40