La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Manchester City v Southampton
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Manchester City (Casa)
Previsione 77.44%1.29quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -2.56%
Kelly -12.79%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.02%77.41%77.29%79.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.211.221.2586.21%82.64%81.97%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Southampton (Trasferta)
Previsione 8.36%11.97quota equa
EV +11.98%
Vantaggio +0.894%
Kelly +0.966%
Crescita +0.116%
ipotizzando la quota massima 13.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.31%8.36%8.44%9.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.5011.4811.0013.4010.53%8.71%9.09%7.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 14.20%7.04quota equa
EV +5.80%
Vantaggio +0.778%
Kelly +0.899%
Crescita +0.052%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.88%14.23%14.27%17.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.616.557.4520.00%15.12%15.27%13.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.72%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.34%EV +11.98%E +0.894%K +0.966%G +0.116% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.94%EV +0.260%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.31%EV +10.73%E +0.810%K +0.876%G +0.094% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.94%EV -1.30%E -0.187%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 09:39 |
| Betsson | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:35 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 11.58I 8.64%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.279%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.67%EV -1.73%E -0.250%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.55I 8.66%NM 8.12%EV -3.48%E -0.301%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.70%EV -2.72%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -3.90%E -0.339%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.43%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.17%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.27%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:53 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV +2.96%E +0.408%K +0.473%G +0.014% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.99%E -5.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |