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Manchester City v Southampton
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Manchester City (Хозяева)
Прогноз 77.44%1.29справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.20%
Преимущество -2.56%
Kelly -12.79%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
74.02%77.41%77.29%79.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.161.211.221.2586.21%82.64%81.97%80.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Southampton (Гости)
Прогноз 8.36%11.97справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.98%
Преимущество +0.894%
Kelly +0.966%
Рост +0.116%
при максимальном коэффициенте 13.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.31%8.36%8.44%9.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
9.5011.4811.0013.4010.53%8.71%9.09%7.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 14.20%7.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.80%
Преимущество +0.778%
Kelly +0.899%
Рост +0.052%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.88%14.23%14.27%17.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.006.616.557.4520.00%15.12%15.27%13.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Manchester City (Хозяева): 77.44%; Southampton (Гости): 8.36%; Ничья: 14.20%. Для исхода «Southampton (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 11.97. 21 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 13.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +11.98%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.72%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.34%EV +11.98%E +0.894%K +0.966%G +0.116% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.94%EV +0.260%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.75%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.31%EV +10.73%E +0.810%K +0.876%G +0.094% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.94%EV -1.30%E -0.187%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.97%E -3.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.32%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +8.64%E +0.665%K +0.720%G +0.062% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 09:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 04:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +4.46%E +0.357%K +0.388%G +0.017% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.02%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.94%EV +5.80%E +0.778%K +0.899%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -4.14%E -0.614%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +0.282%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.30%E -5.20%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 11.58I 8.64%NM 8.17%EV -3.23%E -0.279%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.67%EV -1.73%E -0.250%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.55I 8.66%NM 8.12%EV -3.48%E -0.301%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.70%EV -2.72%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -3.90%E -0.339%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.43%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.75%E -3.86%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.17%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.27%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.79%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.62%E -7.30%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.17%E -8.76%K -63.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -8.08%E -0.734%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.20%E -2.56%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV +2.96%E +0.408%K +0.473%G +0.014% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.07%E -5.89%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -9.39%E -8.03%K -55.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -16.43%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.99%E -5.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.52%E -4.53%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -7.84%E -6.59%K -41.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -20.61%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.592%E -0.085%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.91% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |