Школа коэффициентов

Chelsea v Manchester City

Начало: 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Итог: Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Chelsea (Хозяева)

Прогноз 21.44%4.66справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.25%
Преимущество +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Рост +0.071%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.91

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.73%21.57%21.45%23.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.464.504.9125.64%22.42%22.22%20.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Manchester City (Гости)

Прогноз 54.22%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.40%
Преимущество -1.33%
Kelly -3.00%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.99%54.11%54.30%56.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.34%4.11справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.23%
Преимущество +0.531%
Kelly +0.697%
Рост +0.016%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.69%24.32%24.25%26.31%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.63%25.64%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet4.91I 20.37%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.071%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.91%EV -5.31%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 13:55
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 13:10
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 13:10
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.59%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Unibet (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +2.23%E +0.531%K +0.697%G +0.016%3.0%2026-05-16 09:25
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:35
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -9.99%E -6.02%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:35
LowVig.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 13:50
BetOnline.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 13:50
Coolbet4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%EV -2.46%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.41%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 24.06%EV -0.933%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Pinnacle4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.22%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.10%EV -1.42%E -0.351%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 13:50
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 13:54
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:55
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:40
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -11.07%E -6.75%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:35
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:55
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:40
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:40
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:44
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 13:33
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:49
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:54
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:50
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:50
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-16 13:50
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.33%E -3.88%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:40
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -16.40%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%0.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-16 13:55
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-16 13:55
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-05-16 13:55