Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Chelsea v Manchester City
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Chelsea (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 21.44%4.66kurs godziwy
EV +5.25%
Przewaga +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Wzrost +0.071%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.91
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.73%21.57%21.45%23.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.904.464.504.9125.64%22.42%22.22%20.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Manchester City (Goście)
Prognoza 54.22%1.84kurs godziwy
EV -2.40%
Przewaga -1.33%
Kelly -3.00%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.99%54.11%54.30%56.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 24.34%4.11kurs godziwy
EV +2.23%
Przewaga +0.531%
Kelly +0.697%
Wzrost +0.016%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.69%24.32%24.25%26.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.63%25.64%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.071% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.91%EV -5.31%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.59%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +2.23%E +0.531%K +0.697%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -9.99%E -6.02%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%EV -2.46%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.41%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.06%EV -0.933%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.22%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.10%EV -1.42%E -0.351%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -11.07%E -6.75%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:33 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.33%E -3.88%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -16.40%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |