Die Schule der Quoten

Chelsea v Manchester City

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Endstand: Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chelsea (Heim)

Prognose 21.44%4.66faire Quote
EV +5.25%
Vorteil +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Wachstum +0.071%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.91

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.73%21.57%21.45%23.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.904.464.504.9125.64%22.42%22.22%20.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Manchester City (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.22%1.84faire Quote
EV -2.40%
Vorteil -1.33%
Kelly -3.00%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.99%54.11%54.30%56.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.34%4.11faire Quote
EV +2.23%
Vorteil +0.531%
Kelly +0.697%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.69%24.32%24.25%26.31%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.63%25.64%23.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet4.91I 20.37%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.071%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.91%EV -5.31%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 13:55
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 13:10
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 13:10
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.59%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Unibet (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +2.23%E +0.531%K +0.697%G +0.016%3.0%2026-05-16 09:25
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:35
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -9.99%E -6.02%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:35
LowVig.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 13:50
BetOnline.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 13:50
Coolbet4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%EV -2.46%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.41%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 24.06%EV -0.933%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Pinnacle4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.22%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.10%EV -1.42%E -0.351%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 13:50
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 13:54
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:55
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:40
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -11.07%E -6.75%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:35
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:55
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:40
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:40
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:44
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 13:33
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:49
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:54
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:50
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:50
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-16 13:50
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.33%E -3.88%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:40
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -16.40%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%0.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-16 13:55
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-16 13:55
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-05-16 13:55