L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Chelsea v Manchester City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chelsea (Local)
Prévision 21.44%4.66cote équitable
EV +5.25%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.071%
avec la cote maximale 4.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.73%21.57%21.45%23.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.464.504.9125.64%22.42%22.22%20.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Manchester City (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.22%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.99%54.11%54.30%56.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.34%4.11cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.531%
Kelly +0.697%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.69%24.32%24.25%26.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.63%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.071% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.91%EV -5.31%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.59%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +2.23%E +0.531%K +0.697%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -9.99%E -6.02%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%EV -2.46%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.41%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.06%EV -0.933%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.22%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.10%EV -1.42%E -0.351%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -11.07%E -6.75%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:33 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.33%E -3.88%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -16.40%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |