مدرسة الاحتمالاتChelsea v Manchester City
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Chelsea (المضيف)
التنبؤ 21.44%4.66السعر العادل
EV +5.25%
الأفضلية +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
النمو +0.071%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.91
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.73%21.57%21.45%23.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.904.464.504.9125.64%22.42%22.22%20.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Manchester City (الضيف)
التنبؤ 54.22%1.84السعر العادل
EV -2.40%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -3.00%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.99%54.11%54.30%56.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 24.34%4.11السعر العادل
EV +2.23%
الأفضلية +0.531%
Kelly +0.697%
النمو +0.016%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.69%24.32%24.25%26.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.63%25.64%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.071% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.91%EV -5.31%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.59%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +2.23%E +0.531%K +0.697%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -9.99%E -6.02%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%EV -2.46%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.41%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.06%EV -0.933%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.22%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.10%EV -1.42%E -0.351%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -11.07%E -6.75%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:33 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.33%E -3.88%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -16.40%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |