A Escola das OddsChelsea v Manchester City
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Chelsea (Local)
Previsão 21.44%4.66odd justa
EV +5.25%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescimento +0.071%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.91
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.73%21.57%21.45%23.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.904.464.504.9125.64%22.42%22.22%20.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Manchester City (Visitante)
Previsão 54.22%1.84odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.99%54.11%54.30%56.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 24.34%4.11odd justa
EV +2.23%
Vantagem +0.531%
Kelly +0.697%
Crescimento +0.016%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.69%24.32%24.25%26.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.63%25.64%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.071% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.91%EV -5.31%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.59%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +2.23%E +0.531%K +0.697%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -9.99%E -6.02%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%EV -2.46%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.41%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.06%EV -0.933%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.22%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.10%EV -1.42%E -0.351%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -11.07%E -6.75%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:33 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.33%E -3.88%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -16.40%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |