La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chelsea v Manchester City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chelsea (Local)
Predicción 21.44%4.66momio equitativo
EV +5.25%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.73%21.57%21.45%23.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.464.504.9125.64%22.42%22.22%20.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Manchester City (Visitante)
Predicción 54.22%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.99%54.11%54.30%56.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.34%4.11momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.531%
Kelly +0.697%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.69%24.32%24.25%26.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.903.904.2030.30%25.63%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.73%EV +5.25%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.071% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.91%EV -5.31%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%EV +2.89%E +0.603%K +0.762%G +0.022% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.59%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.82%E +0.384%K +0.486%G +0.009% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +2.23%E +0.531%K +0.697%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV +0.751%E +0.160%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.39%E -0.303%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -9.99%E -6.02%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -1.82%E -0.398%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.82%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%EV -2.46%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.41%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.06%EV -0.933%E -0.229%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.22%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.10%EV -1.42%E -0.351%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.31%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.85%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -11.07%E -6.75%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -3.54%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.68%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -7.18%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:33 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.64%E -0.659%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.33%E -3.88%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -16.40%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.203%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |