A Escola das Odds

Aston Villa v Liverpool

Início: 2026-05-17 11:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aston Villa (Local)

Previsão 26.84%3.73odd justa
EV -0.686%
Vantagem -0.185%
Kelly -0.254%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.19%26.98%26.74%28.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.433.423.7031.25%29.15%29.20%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liverpool (Visitante)

Previsão 49.89%2.00odd justa
EV -0.226%
Vantagem -0.113%
Kelly -0.226%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.48%49.72%49.98%51.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.901.912.0056.82%52.58%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.27%4.30odd justa
EV +1.23%
Vantagem +0.283%
Kelly +0.367%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.77%23.30%23.28%24.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.064.004.3527.03%24.64%25.00%22.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.18%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV +1.23%E +0.283%K +0.367%G +0.005%5.6%2026-05-08 03:23
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 26.69%EV -0.954%E -0.259%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.80%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.5%2026-05-07 21:10
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.95%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-07 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -2.30%E -0.631%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 21:08
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.33%EV -3.22%E -1.66%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 04:19
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.72%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:10
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 22:24
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 22:24
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:19
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:19
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.25%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 04:19
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:49
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 23:50
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 04:19
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 21:04
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 04:19
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -0.226%E -0.113%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 05:19
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 03:30
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 03:29
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 23:40
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 05:21
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 03:20
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 03:29
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 04:19
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 04:19
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 03:29
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 03:29
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:14
MyBookie.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 03:23
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:08
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 03:30
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -11.20%E -6.29%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:20
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 21:09
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 03:29
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 03:54
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 03:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -12.20%E -6.93%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 03:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88%5.1%2026-05-08 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-05-08 06:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-05-08 06:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-05-08 06:40
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-05-08 06:43