La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aston Villa v Liverpool
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aston Villa (Local)
Predicción 26.84%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.185%
Kelly -0.254%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%26.98%26.74%28.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.423.7031.25%29.15%29.20%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Liverpool (Visitante)
Predicción 49.89%2.00momio equitativo
EV -0.226%
Ventaja -0.113%
Kelly -0.226%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.48%49.72%49.98%51.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.901.912.0056.82%52.58%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.27%4.30momio equitativo
EV +1.23%
Ventaja +0.283%
Kelly +0.367%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.77%23.30%23.28%24.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.064.004.3527.03%24.64%25.00%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.18%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV +1.23%E +0.283%K +0.367%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 03:23 |
| 1xBet | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.69%EV -0.954%E -0.259%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.80%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.95%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -2.30%E -0.631%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 21:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.33%EV -3.22%E -1.66%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.72%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 22:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 22:24 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Bally Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.25%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 21:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -0.226%E -0.113%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 05:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 23:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 05:21 |
| Neds | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 21:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 03:23 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:08 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -11.20%E -6.29%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 21:09 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 03:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -12.20%E -6.93%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 06:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 06:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 06:43 |