مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aston Villa v Liverpool

البداية: 2026-05-17 11:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aston Villa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.84%3.73السعر العادل
EV -0.686%
الأفضلية -0.185%
Kelly -0.254%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.19%26.98%26.74%28.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.433.423.7031.25%29.15%29.20%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Liverpool (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.89%2.00السعر العادل
EV -0.226%
الأفضلية -0.113%
Kelly -0.226%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.48%49.72%49.98%51.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.761.901.912.0056.82%52.58%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.27%4.30السعر العادل
EV +1.23%
الأفضلية +0.283%
Kelly +0.367%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.77%23.30%23.28%24.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.064.004.3527.03%24.64%25.00%22.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.18%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV +1.23%E +0.283%K +0.367%G +0.005%5.6%2026-05-08 03:23
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 26.69%EV -0.954%E -0.259%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.80%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.5%2026-05-07 21:10
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.95%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-07 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -2.30%E -0.631%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 21:08
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.33%EV -3.22%E -1.66%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 04:19
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.72%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:10
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 22:24
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 22:24
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:19
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:19
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.25%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 04:19
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:49
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 23:50
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 04:19
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 21:04
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 04:19
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -0.226%E -0.113%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 05:19
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 03:30
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 03:29
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 23:40
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 05:21
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 03:20
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 03:29
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 04:19
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 04:19
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 03:29
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 03:29
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:14
MyBookie.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 03:23
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:08
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 03:30
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -11.20%E -6.29%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:20
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 21:09
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 03:29
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 03:54
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 03:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -12.20%E -6.93%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 03:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88%5.1%2026-05-08 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-05-08 06:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-05-08 06:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-05-08 06:40
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-05-08 06:43