L’École des cotesFrançais
Aston Villa v Liverpool
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aston Villa (Local)
Prévision 26.84%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.686%
Avantage -0.185%
Kelly -0.254%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.98%26.74%28.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.433.423.7031.25%29.15%29.20%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Liverpool (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.89%2.00cote équitable
EV -0.226%
Avantage -0.113%
Kelly -0.226%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.48%49.72%49.98%51.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.901.912.0056.82%52.58%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.27%4.30cote équitable
EV +1.23%
Avantage +0.283%
Kelly +0.367%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.77%23.30%23.28%24.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.064.004.3527.03%24.64%25.00%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.18%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV +1.23%E +0.283%K +0.367%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 03:23 |
| 1xBet | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.69%EV -0.954%E -0.259%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.80%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.95%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -2.30%E -0.631%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 21:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.33%EV -3.22%E -1.66%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.72%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 22:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 22:24 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Bally Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.25%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 21:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -0.226%E -0.113%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 05:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 23:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 05:21 |
| Neds | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 21:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 03:23 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:08 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -11.20%E -6.29%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 21:09 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 03:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -12.20%E -6.93%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 06:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 06:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 06:43 |