Szkoła Kursów

Aston Villa v Liverpool

Początek: 2026-05-17 11:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Aston Villa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 26.84%3.73kurs godziwy
EV -0.686%
Przewaga -0.185%
Kelly -0.254%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.19%26.98%26.74%28.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.433.423.7031.25%29.15%29.20%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Liverpool (Goście)

Prognoza 49.89%2.00kurs godziwy
EV -0.226%
Przewaga -0.113%
Kelly -0.226%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.48%49.72%49.98%51.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.761.901.912.0056.82%52.58%52.36%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.27%4.30kurs godziwy
EV +1.23%
Przewaga +0.283%
Kelly +0.367%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.77%23.30%23.28%24.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.704.064.004.3527.03%24.64%25.00%22.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.18%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV +1.23%E +0.283%K +0.367%G +0.005%5.6%2026-05-08 03:23
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 26.69%EV -0.954%E -0.259%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.80%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.5%2026-05-07 21:10
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.95%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-07 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -2.30%E -0.631%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 21:08
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.33%EV -3.22%E -1.66%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 04:19
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.72%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:10
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 22:24
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 22:24
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:19
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:19
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.25%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 04:19
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:49
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 23:50
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 04:19
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 21:04
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 04:19
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -0.226%E -0.113%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 05:19
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 03:30
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 03:29
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 23:40
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 05:21
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:14
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 03:20
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 03:29
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 04:19
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 04:19
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 03:29
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 03:29
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:14
MyBookie.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 03:23
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:08
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:10
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 03:30
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -11.20%E -6.29%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:20
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 21:09
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 03:29
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 03:54
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 03:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -12.20%E -6.93%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 03:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88%5.1%2026-05-08 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-05-08 06:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-05-08 06:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-05-08 06:40
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-05-08 06:43