La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Aston Villa v Liverpool
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aston Villa (Casa)
Previsione 26.84%3.73quota equa
EV -0.686%
Vantaggio -0.185%
Kelly -0.254%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.19%26.98%26.74%28.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.433.423.7031.25%29.15%29.20%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Liverpool (Trasferta)
Previsione 49.89%2.00quota equa
EV -0.226%
Vantaggio -0.113%
Kelly -0.226%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.48%49.72%49.98%51.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.901.912.0056.82%52.58%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.27%4.30quota equa
EV +1.23%
Vantaggio +0.283%
Kelly +0.367%
Crescita +0.005%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.77%23.30%23.28%24.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.064.004.3527.03%24.64%25.00%22.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.18%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV +1.23%E +0.283%K +0.367%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 03:23 |
| 1xBet | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.69%EV -0.954%E -0.259%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.80%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.95%EV +0.532%E +0.123%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -1.72%E -0.874%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -2.30%E -0.631%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 21:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.33%EV -3.22%E -1.66%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.72%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 22:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 22:24 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Bally Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -3.72%E -1.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.25%EV -4.22%E -2.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.26%E -0.538%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 21:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -0.226%E -0.113%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 05:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.37%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.21%E -3.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 23:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -1.22%E -0.618%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 05:21 |
| Neds | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 05:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.91%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.686%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 21:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -7.71%E -4.17%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 03:23 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:08 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.71%E -4.76%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -11.20%E -6.29%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 21:09 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 03:29 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.72%E -2.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 03:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.71%E -3.59%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -12.20%E -6.93%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 03:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 06:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 06:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 06:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 06:43 |