Language:English
Swindon Town v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swindon Town (Local)
Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%37.04%37.08%38.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.512.512.6042.02%39.86%39.84%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.65%35.74%35.62%37.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.562.552.7541.15%39.04%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.678%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.23%27.30%28.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.90%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swindon Town (Local): 37.11%; Colchester United (Visit): 35.61%; Draw: 27.29%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.52%EV -6.12%E -2.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.52%EV -2.31%E -0.645%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 19:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.08%E -0.757%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 07:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.80%EV -8.35%E -3.38%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.69%E -4.91%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 06:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |