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Swindon Town v Colchester United
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Swindon Town (Хозяева)
Прогноз 37.11%2.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.52%
Преимущество -1.36%
Kelly -2.20%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.08%37.04%37.08%38.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.382.512.512.6042.02%39.86%39.84%38.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Colchester United (Гости)
Прогноз 35.61%2.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.08%
Преимущество -0.757%
Kelly -1.19%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.65%35.74%35.62%37.58%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.432.562.552.7541.15%39.04%39.22%36.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.29%3.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.76%
Преимущество -0.490%
Kelly -0.678%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.85%27.23%27.30%28.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.90%29.85%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Swindon Town (Хозяева): 37.11%; Colchester United (Гости): 35.61%; Ничья: 27.29%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.66. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.60, математическое ожидание — -1.76%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.52%EV -6.12%E -2.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.52%EV -2.31%E -0.645%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 19:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.08%E -0.757%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 07:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.80%EV -8.35%E -3.38%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.69%E -4.91%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 06:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |