Idioma:Español
Swindon Town v Colchester United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swindon Town (Local)
Predicción 37.11%2.69momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.08%37.04%37.08%38.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.512.512.6042.02%39.86%39.84%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Colchester United (Visitante)
Predicción 35.61%2.81momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.757%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.65%35.74%35.62%37.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.432.562.552.7541.15%39.04%39.22%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.29%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -0.678%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.85%27.23%27.30%28.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.90%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Swindon Town (Local): 37.11%; Colchester United (Visitante): 35.61%; Empate: 27.29%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.60, con un valor esperado de -1.76%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.52%EV -6.12%E -2.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.52%EV -2.31%E -0.645%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 19:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.08%E -0.757%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 07:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.80%EV -8.35%E -3.38%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.69%E -4.91%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 06:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |