StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Swindon Town v Colchester United

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Swindon Town 3–1 Colchester United

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Swindon Town (Hemma)

Prognos 37.11%2.69rättvist odds
EV -3.52%
Fördel -1.36%
Kelly -2.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.08%37.04%37.08%38.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.512.512.6042.02%39.86%39.84%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Colchester United (Borta)

Prognos 35.61%2.81rättvist odds
EV -2.08%
Fördel -0.757%
Kelly -1.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.65%35.74%35.62%37.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.432.562.552.7541.15%39.04%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.29%3.66rättvist odds
EV -1.76%
Fördel -0.490%
Kelly -0.678%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.85%27.23%27.30%28.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.90%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Swindon Town (Hemma): 37.11%; Colchester United (Borta): 35.61%; Oavgjort: 27.29%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.66. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.60, med väntevärdet -1.76%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:18
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:00
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.52%EV -6.12%E -2.42%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.52%EV -2.31%E -0.645%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:20
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 19:58
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.08%E -0.757%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 03:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 03:50
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 07:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 05:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 07:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.80%EV -8.35%E -3.38%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 05:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:30
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 14:25
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 03:50
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.678%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 10:30
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 03:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.69%E -4.91%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 06:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.56%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-09-04 14:00