语言:简体中文
Swindon Town v Colchester United
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Swindon Town (主队)
预测 37.11%2.69公平赔率
EV -3.52%
优势 -1.36%
Kelly -2.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.60
博彩公司预测分布
35.08%37.04%37.08%38.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.512.512.6042.02%39.86%39.84%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
Colchester United (客队)
预测 35.61%2.81公平赔率
EV -2.08%
优势 -0.757%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.75
博彩公司预测分布
34.65%35.74%35.62%37.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.432.562.552.7541.15%39.04%39.22%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.29%3.66公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -0.490%
Kelly -0.678%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.85%27.23%27.30%28.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.90%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Swindon Town (主队)：37.11%；Colchester United (客队)：35.61%；平局：27.29%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.66。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-1.76%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.52%EV -6.12%E -2.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.52%EV -2.31%E -0.645%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 19:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.08%E -0.757%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 07:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.80%EV -8.35%E -3.38%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.69%E -4.91%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-03 06:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |