Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Swindon Town v Colchester United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Swindon Town 3–1 Colchester United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Swindon Town (Local)

Prévision 37.11%2.69cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.08%37.04%37.08%38.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.512.512.6042.02%39.86%39.84%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Colchester United (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.61%2.81cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.757%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.65%35.74%35.62%37.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.432.562.552.7541.15%39.04%39.22%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.29%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.490%
Kelly -0.678%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.85%27.23%27.30%28.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.90%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Swindon Town (Local) : 37.11% ; Colchester United (Visiteur) : 35.61% ; Match nul : 27.29%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.66. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -1.76% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:18
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:00
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -11.70%E -4.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.76%E -5.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 07:15
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.52%EV -6.12%E -2.42%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.52%EV -2.31%E -0.645%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.49%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:20
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -6.86%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -8.31%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 19:58
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.08%E -0.757%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 03:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 03:50
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 07:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 05:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.24%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -13.48%E -5.55%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-02 07:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.80%EV -8.35%E -3.38%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 05:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.72%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.29%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:30
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 14:25
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.42%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 03:50
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.09%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.36%E -2.42%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.678%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 10:30
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.95%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 03:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.69%E -4.91%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 06:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.56%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-09-04 14:00