Szkoła Kursów

Swindon Town v Chesterfield FC

Początek: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Swindon Town 1–2 Chesterfield FC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Swindon Town (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 28.72%3.48kurs godziwy
EV -0.927%
Przewaga -0.269%
Kelly -0.378%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.15%28.77%28.75%30.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.173.203.4533.33%31.56%31.25%28.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Chesterfield FC (Goście)

Prognoza 45.82%2.18kurs godziwy
EV -1.04%
Przewaga -0.480%
Kelly -0.893%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.16

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.62%45.69%45.82%47.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.73%48.78%46.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.47%3.93kurs godziwy
EV -3.23%
Przewaga -0.849%
Kelly -1.15%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.76%25.53%25.43%27.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.573.603.8032.26%28.04%27.78%26.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:30
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.37%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:35
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:24
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:30
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:20
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.53%E -3.20%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:05
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:31
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:05
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:35
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:54
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:30
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:05
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:30
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.32%EV -7.91%E -3.93%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:10
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:55
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.49%E -6.54%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -21.05%E -6.79%K -10.03%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-05-02 13:55