L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Swindon Town v Chesterfield FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Swindon Town (Local)
Prévision 28.72%3.48cote équitable
EV -0.927%
Avantage -0.269%
Kelly -0.378%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.15%28.77%28.75%30.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.203.4533.33%31.56%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.82%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.480%
Kelly -0.893%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.62%45.69%45.82%47.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.73%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.47%3.93cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -0.849%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%25.53%25.43%27.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.573.603.8032.26%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.37%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:24 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.53%E -3.20%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| 888sport | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.32%EV -7.91%E -3.93%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.49%E -6.54%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -21.05%E -6.79%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |