Die Schule der Quoten

Swindon Town v Chesterfield FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Endstand: Swindon Town 1–2 Chesterfield FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Swindon Town (Heim)

Prognose 28.72%3.48faire Quote
EV -0.927%
Vorteil -0.269%
Kelly -0.378%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.15%28.77%28.75%30.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.173.203.4533.33%31.56%31.25%28.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Chesterfield FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 45.82%2.18faire Quote
EV -1.04%
Vorteil -0.480%
Kelly -0.893%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.62%45.69%45.82%47.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.73%48.78%46.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.47%3.93faire Quote
EV -3.23%
Vorteil -0.849%
Kelly -1.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.76%25.53%25.43%27.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.573.603.8032.26%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:30
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.37%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:35
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:24
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:30
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:20
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.53%E -3.20%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:05
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:31
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:05
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:35
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:54
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:30
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:05
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:30
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.32%EV -7.91%E -3.93%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:10
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:55
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.49%E -6.54%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -21.05%E -6.79%K -10.03%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-05-02 13:55