Idioma:Español
Swindon Town v Chesterfield FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swindon Town (Local)
Predicción 28.72%3.48momio equitativo
EV -0.927%
Ventaja -0.269%
Kelly -0.378%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.15%28.77%28.75%30.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.173.203.4533.33%31.56%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chesterfield FC (Visitante)
Predicción 45.82%2.18momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.480%
Kelly -0.893%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.62%45.69%45.82%47.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.73%48.78%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.47%3.93momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.849%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.76%25.53%25.43%27.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.573.603.8032.26%28.04%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Swindon Town (Local): 28.72%; Chesterfield FC (Visitante): 45.82%; Empate: 25.47%. Para Swindon Town (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.48. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.45, con un valor esperado de -0.927%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.37%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.53%E -3.20%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.32%EV -7.91%E -3.93%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.49%E -6.54%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -21.05%E -6.79%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |