La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Swindon Town v Chesterfield FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Swindon Town (Casa)
Previsione 28.72%3.48quota equa
EV -0.927%
Vantaggio -0.269%
Kelly -0.378%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.15%28.77%28.75%30.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.173.203.4533.33%31.56%31.25%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Chesterfield FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 45.82%2.18quota equa
EV -1.04%
Vantaggio -0.480%
Kelly -0.893%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.62%45.69%45.82%47.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.73%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 25.47%3.93quota equa
EV -3.23%
Vantaggio -0.849%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.76%25.53%25.43%27.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.573.603.8032.26%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.37%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:24 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.53%E -3.20%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| 888sport | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.32%EV -7.91%E -3.93%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 12:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.49%E -6.54%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -21.05%E -6.79%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |