مدرسة الاحتمالات

Swindon Town v Chesterfield FC

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Swindon Town 1–2 Chesterfield FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Swindon Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.72%3.48السعر العادل
EV -0.927%
الأفضلية -0.269%
Kelly -0.378%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.15%28.77%28.75%30.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.173.203.4533.33%31.56%31.25%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chesterfield FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.82%2.18السعر العادل
EV -1.04%
الأفضلية -0.480%
Kelly -0.893%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.62%45.69%45.82%47.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.73%48.78%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.47%3.93السعر العادل
EV -3.23%
الأفضلية -0.849%
Kelly -1.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.76%25.53%25.43%27.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.573.603.8032.26%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -0.927%E -0.269%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -9.74%E -4.94%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.23%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:30
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.37%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:35
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:24
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:30
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -5.62%E -2.73%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.45%E -3.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:25
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:20
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -7.53%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.53%E -3.20%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:05
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:31
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:05
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:35
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:54
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:30
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:05
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:30
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.87%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.32%EV -7.91%E -3.93%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:10
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -1.04%E -0.480%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:55
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -1.95%E -0.912%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.41%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.49%E -6.54%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -21.05%E -6.79%K -10.03%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-02 13:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-05-02 13:55