Language:English
Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swindon Town (Local)
Prediction 56.16%1.78fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -5.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.92%55.98%56.14%57.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.641.7164.10%61.00%60.98%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Accrington Stanley (Visit)
Prediction 19.02%5.26fair odd
EV -0.164%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%19.17%19.11%21.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.844.805.2524.39%20.65%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV -0.699%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.233%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%24.86%24.74%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.95%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swindon Town (Local): 56.16%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 19.02%; Draw: 24.83%. For Accrington Stanley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.25, with an expected value of -0.164%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.33%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.87%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.57%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.92%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -22.03%E -5.37%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.03%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.49%EV -2.07%E -0.401%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV -3.43%E -0.882%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 11:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.164%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:27 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.83%E -7.54%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.43%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -12.39%E -7.94%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |