L’École des cotesFrançais
Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Swindon Town (Local)
Prévision 56.16%1.78cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -5.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.92%55.98%56.14%57.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.641.7164.10%61.00%60.98%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Accrington Stanley (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.02%5.26cote équitable
EV -0.164%
Avantage -0.031%
Kelly -0.039%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.97%19.17%19.11%21.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.844.805.2524.39%20.65%20.83%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.83%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.699%
Avantage -0.175%
Kelly -0.233%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.42%24.86%24.74%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.95%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.33%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.87%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.57%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.92%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -22.03%E -5.37%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.03%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.49%EV -2.07%E -0.401%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV -3.43%E -0.882%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 11:28 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.164%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:27 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:26 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.83%E -7.54%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.43%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -12.39%E -7.94%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |