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Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Swindon Town (Хозяева)
Прогноз 56.16%1.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.97%
Преимущество -2.32%
Kelly -5.59%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.71
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.92%55.98%56.14%57.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.561.641.641.7164.10%61.00%60.98%58.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Accrington Stanley (Гости)
Прогноз 19.02%5.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.164%
Преимущество -0.031%
Kelly -0.039%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.97%19.17%19.11%21.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.104.844.805.2524.39%20.65%20.83%19.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.83%4.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.699%
Преимущество -0.175%
Kelly -0.233%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.42%24.86%24.74%26.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.95%26.67%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Swindon Town (Хозяева): 56.16%; Accrington Stanley (Гости): 19.02%; Ничья: 24.83%. Для исхода «Accrington Stanley (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.26. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 5.25, математическое ожидание — -0.164%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.33%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.87%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.57%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.92%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -22.03%E -5.37%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.03%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.49%EV -2.07%E -0.401%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV -3.43%E -0.882%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 11:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.164%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:27 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.83%E -7.54%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.43%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -12.39%E -7.94%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |