语言:简体中文
Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Swindon Town (主队)
预测 56.16%1.78公平赔率
EV -3.97%
优势 -2.32%
Kelly -5.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.71
博彩公司预测分布
52.92%55.98%56.14%57.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.641.641.7164.10%61.00%60.98%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
Accrington Stanley (客队)
预测 19.02%5.26公平赔率
EV -0.164%
优势 -0.031%
Kelly -0.039%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
17.97%19.17%19.11%21.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.844.805.2524.39%20.65%20.83%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.83%4.03公平赔率
EV -0.699%
优势 -0.175%
Kelly -0.233%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.42%24.86%24.74%26.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.95%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Swindon Town (主队)：56.16%；Accrington Stanley (客队)：19.02%；平局：24.83%。 对于“Accrington Stanley (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.26。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为5.25，期望值为-0.164%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.33%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.87%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.57%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.92%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -22.03%E -5.37%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.03%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.49%EV -2.07%E -0.401%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV -3.43%E -0.882%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 11:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.164%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:27 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.83%E -7.54%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.43%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -12.39%E -7.94%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |