La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swindon Town (Local)
Predicción 56.16%1.78momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -5.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.92%55.98%56.14%57.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.641.641.7164.10%61.00%60.98%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Accrington Stanley (Visitante)
Predicción 19.02%5.26momio equitativo
EV -0.164%
Ventaja -0.031%
Kelly -0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%19.17%19.11%21.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.844.805.2524.39%20.65%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.83%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.699%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.233%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.42%24.86%24.74%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.95%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.33%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -5.87%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.57%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.92%EV -5.65%E -3.37%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -22.03%E -5.37%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.03%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.49%EV -2.07%E -0.401%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV -3.43%E -0.882%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 11:28 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.164%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:27 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:26 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.46%E -5.19%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.08%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.58%E -5.95%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.83%E -7.54%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.43%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.84%EV -12.39%E -7.94%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |