Language:English
Notts County v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notts County (Local)
Prediction 42.09%2.38fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.17%42.34%42.02%45.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.202.2950.00%46.14%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 30.34%3.30fair odd
EV +3.17%
Edge +0.931%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%30.16%30.39%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.093.103.4034.72%32.32%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.544%
Kelly +0.745%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%27.50%27.59%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.353.7033.33%29.86%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 42.09%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 30.34%; Draw: 27.57%. For Chesterfield FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -15.83%E -7.91%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.17%E +0.931%K +1.32%G +0.042% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -5.03%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -8.19%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 12:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.69%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -9.93%E -4.64%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |