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Notts County v Chesterfield FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Notts County (Хозяева)
Прогноз 42.09%2.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.62%
Преимущество -1.58%
Kelly -2.81%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.17%42.34%42.02%45.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.172.202.2950.00%46.14%45.45%43.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Chesterfield FC (Гости)
Прогноз 30.34%3.30справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.17%
Преимущество +0.931%
Kelly +1.32%
Рост +0.042%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.92%30.16%30.39%31.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.093.103.4034.72%32.32%32.26%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.57%3.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.01%
Преимущество +0.544%
Kelly +0.745%
Рост +0.015%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.93%27.50%27.59%28.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.353.353.7033.33%29.86%29.85%27.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Notts County (Хозяева): 42.09%; Chesterfield FC (Гости): 30.34%; Ничья: 27.57%. Для исхода «Chesterfield FC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.30. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.17%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -15.83%E -7.91%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.17%E +0.931%K +1.32%G +0.042% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -5.03%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -8.19%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 12:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.69%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -9.93%E -4.64%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |