مدرسة الاحتمالات

Notts County v Chesterfield FC

البداية: 2026-03-14 12:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Notts County (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.09%2.38السعر العادل
EV -3.62%
الأفضلية -1.58%
Kelly -2.81%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.17%42.34%42.02%45.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.172.202.2950.00%46.14%45.45%43.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chesterfield FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.34%3.30السعر العادل
EV +3.17%
الأفضلية +0.931%
Kelly +1.32%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.92%30.16%30.39%31.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.093.103.4034.72%32.32%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.57%3.63السعر العادل
EV +2.01%
الأفضلية +0.544%
Kelly +0.745%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.93%27.50%27.59%28.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.353.353.7033.33%29.86%29.85%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -15.83%E -7.91%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.17%E +0.931%K +1.32%G +0.042%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-11 14:05
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 12:19
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -5.03%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -8.19%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:18
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:04
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:25
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.69%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:25
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:25
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:25
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -9.93%E -4.64%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:20
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:19
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015%4.2%2026-03-14 12:25
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015%4.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:19
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:15
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:14
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:15
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 12:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-14 12:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-14 12:25