La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Notts County v Chesterfield FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 42.09%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.17%42.34%42.02%45.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.202.2950.00%46.14%45.45%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chesterfield FC (Visitante)
Predicción 30.34%3.30momio equitativo
EV +3.17%
Ventaja +0.931%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%30.16%30.39%31.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.093.103.4034.72%32.32%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.57%3.63momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +0.544%
Kelly +0.745%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%27.50%27.59%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.353.7033.33%29.86%29.85%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -15.83%E -7.91%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.17%E +0.931%K +1.32%G +0.042% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -5.03%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -8.19%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 12:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.69%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -9.93%E -4.64%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |