Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Notts County v Chesterfield FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 42.09%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.17%42.34%42.02%45.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.202.2950.00%46.14%45.45%43.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.34%3.30cote équitable
EV +3.17%
Avantage +0.931%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%30.16%30.39%31.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.093.103.4034.72%32.32%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +0.745%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%27.50%27.59%28.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.353.7033.33%29.86%29.85%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Notts County (Local) : 42.09% ; Chesterfield FC (Visiteur) : 30.34% ; Match nul : 27.57%. Pour Chesterfield FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.30. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +3.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -15.83%E -7.91%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.17%E +0.931%K +1.32%G +0.042%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-11 14:05
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -5.03%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -8.19%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:20
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:25
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.69%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:25
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -9.93%E -4.64%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015%4.2%2026-03-14 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015%4.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:25
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:19
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:19
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:15
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:14
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:15
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-14 12:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-14 12:25