A Escola das Odds

Notts County v Chesterfield FC

Início: 2026-03-14 12:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Notts County (Local)

Previsão 42.09%2.38odd justa
EV -3.62%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.17%42.34%42.02%45.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.172.202.2950.00%46.14%45.45%43.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chesterfield FC (Visitante)

Previsão 30.34%3.30odd justa
EV +3.17%
Vantagem +0.931%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.92%30.16%30.39%31.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.093.103.4034.72%32.32%32.26%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.57%3.63odd justa
EV +2.01%
Vantagem +0.544%
Kelly +0.745%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.93%27.50%27.59%28.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.353.353.7033.33%29.86%29.85%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -15.83%E -7.91%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.17%E +0.931%K +1.32%G +0.042%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-11 14:05
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 12:19
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -12.46%E -5.99%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -12.88%E -6.22%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:20
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.85%EV -5.03%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -8.19%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:18
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:04
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:25
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.69%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:25
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:25
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 12:25
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -9.93%E -4.64%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:20
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:19
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015%4.2%2026-03-14 12:25
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV +2.01%E +0.544%K +0.745%G +0.015%4.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:19
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.51%E -4.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:15
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -2.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.21%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:14
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:15
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.01%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-14 12:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-03-14 12:25