Language:English
Newport County v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%28.75%28.57%30.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.193.203.4032.79%31.32%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 44.47%2.25fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.38%44.56%45.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.072.1550.00%48.16%48.31%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.87%26.87%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.58%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 28.67%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 44.47%; Draw: 26.86%. For Newport County (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.13%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.37%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 14:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 04:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.05%E -5.53%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -8.38%E -4.07%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |