语言:简体中文
Newport County v Fleetwood Town
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Newport County (主队)
预测 28.67%3.49公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -0.744%
Kelly -1.05%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.81%28.75%28.57%30.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.193.203.4032.79%31.32%31.25%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fleetwood Town (客队)
预测 44.47%2.25公平赔率
EV -4.38%
优势 -2.04%
Kelly -3.81%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.15
博彩公司预测分布
43.22%44.38%44.56%45.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.082.072.1550.00%48.16%48.31%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.86%3.72公平赔率
EV -3.31%
优势 -0.919%
Kelly -1.27%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.53%26.87%26.87%27.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.58%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Newport County (主队)：28.67%；Fleetwood Town (客队)：44.47%；平局：26.86%。 对于“Newport County (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.49。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.40，期望值为-2.53%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.13%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.37%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 14:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 04:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.05%E -5.53%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -8.38%E -4.07%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |